Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Farm Employment Growth
Across Nebraska Counties
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of farm employment growth across all of Nebraska's 93 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Nebraska Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the farm employment growth of Nebraska's 93 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
This figure displays the 93 counties of Nebraska as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual farm employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the farm employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term farm employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.15%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.15% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.15%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 43 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 50 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 46 counties whose most recent (2022) farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-1.93%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 47 counties whose farm employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 93 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.15% over 2010-2022 and -1.93% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.15%) and near-term (-1.93%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.15%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Nebraska average (-1.93%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.15%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (-1.93%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.15%) and near-term (-1.93%).
   
 
Summary of Nebraska's 93 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(-1.93%)
Above
(-1.93%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.15%)
24
19
43
Below
(0.15%)
23
27
50
 
47
46
93
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Nebraska counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Nebraska's average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.15%) as well as near-term (2022 = -1.93%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Nebraska's 93 counties, 19 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 24 Nebraska counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.15%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = -1.93%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 24 (26%) of Nebraska's 93 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
This figure shows the distribution of the 27 Nebraska counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.15%), while they outpaced Nebraska's average near-term (2022 = -1.93%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Nebraska's 93 counties, 29% (27) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 0.15%
2022 = -1.93%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 23 Nebraska counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.15%) as well as near-term (2022 = -1.93%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
25% of Nebraska's counties, 23 of 93, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Nebraska
Farm Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
1.40
 
26
-1.72
114
 
19
0.59
 
4
-1.35
146
 
41
0.18
 
32
-1.79
275
 
29
0.39
 
38
-1.82
1,076
 
42
0.17
 
18
-1.67
825
 
13
0.70
 
16
-1.62
365
 
8
0.91
 
44
-1.90
362
 
24
0.49
 
20
-1.69
408
 
35
0.26
 
45
-1.90
568
 
11
0.73
 
15
-1.61
306
 
17
0.65
 
39
-1.83
376
 
26
0.45
 
27
-1.75
1,009
 
37
0.21
 
35
-1.82
1,187
 
15
0.67
 
22
-1.70
865
 
39
0.20
 
46
-1.90
1,030
 
25
0.49
 
31
-1.78
771
 
43
0.16
 
40
-1.84
374
 
38
0.21
 
33
-1.80
981
 
36
0.22
 
13
-1.55
760
Slipping Counties
 
18
0.64
 
72
-2.22
572
 
21
0.52
 
81
-2.32
927
 
30
0.37
 
90
-2.43
361
 
34
0.28
 
51
-1.98
595
 
2
1.36
 
82
-2.36
497
 
14
0.70
 
84
-2.37
783
 
33
0.32
 
88
-2.42
564
 
12
0.71
 
72
-2.22
704
 
6
1.09
 
75
-2.22
1,011
 
27
0.42
 
89
-2.43
321
 
32
0.34
 
47
-1.95
251
 
5
1.12
 
76
-2.23
263
 
31
0.35
 
93
-2.78
105
 
9
0.81
 
77
-2.26
691
 
23
0.50
 
59
-2.04
1,490
 
20
0.58
 
60
-2.04
672
 
28
0.39
 
53
-2.00
686
 
16
0.66
 
69
-2.14
457
 
7
1.03
 
86
-2.41
284
 
10
0.77
 
92
-2.74
603
 
3
1.29
 
56
-2.02
968
 
40
0.20
 
79
-2.28
601
 
22
0.51
 
52
-1.98
297
 
4
1.18
 
85
-2.39
736
Gaining Counties
 
55
0.00
 
36
-1.82
701
 
60
-0.06
 
10
-1.53
643
 
81
-0.41
 
43
-1.86
949
 
49
0.05
 
28
-1.75
560
 
63
-0.12
 
34
-1.81
1,408
 
80
-0.37
 
42
-1.86
264
 
72
-0.27
 
11
-1.55
445
 
90
-0.68
 
9
-1.50
524
 
62
-0.09
 
19
-1.68
761
 
82
-0.43
 
23
-1.71
1,152
 
61
-0.09
 
30
-1.78
387
 
46
0.06
 
2
-1.15
86
 
51
0.04
 
12
-1.55
507
 
48
0.05
 
7
-1.48
1,663
 
88
-0.65
 
6
-1.41
140
 
92
-1.40
 
1
-0.83
119
 
59
-0.05
 
25
-1.72
743
 
69
-0.22
 
40
-1.84
374
 
76
-0.34
 
3
-1.24
398
 
44
0.14
 
37
-1.82
431
 
77
-0.35
 
5
-1.35
437
 
67
-0.19
 
24
-1.72
687
 
75
-0.33
 
17
-1.66
651
 
64
-0.13
 
29
-1.77
278
 
74
-0.29
 
14
-1.59
1,115
 
73
-0.27
 
8
-1.48
399
 
86
-0.53
 
21
-1.70
579
Lagging Counties
 
45
0.12
 
80
-2.29
213
 
56
0.00
 
87
-2.42
525
 
66
-0.16
 
70
-2.14
1,050
 
58
-0.02
 
50
-1.97
249
 
87
-0.61
 
49
-1.97
399
 
68
-0.19
 
64
-2.08
518
 
47
0.06
 
57
-2.03
435
 
65
-0.16
 
78
-2.27
302
 
91
-0.99
 
54
-2.01
244
 
54
0.02
 
91
-2.47
435
 
71
-0.26
 
48
-1.96
150
 
50
0.04
 
62
-2.07
520
 
52
0.03
 
83
-2.36
620
 
89
-0.65
 
55
-2.02
388
 
79
-0.37
 
68
-2.14
504
 
57
-0.01
 
63
-2.08
424
 
83
-0.46
 
71
-2.15
364
 
84
-0.47
 
66
-2.13
459
 
93
-1.55
 
72
-2.22
88
 
78
-0.37
 
65
-2.10
373
 
70
-0.26
 
67
-2.13
413
 
85
-0.47
 
61
-2.05
574
 
53
0.02
 
58
-2.03
434
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.15
 
-1.93
52,319
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.17
 
-0.23
2,567,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_400000_LSGL
 
   
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