Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing State Government Earnings Growth
Across Nebraska Counties
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real state government earnings growth across all of Nebraska's 93 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Nebraska Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real state government earnings growth of Nebraska's 93 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
This figure displays the 93 counties of Nebraska as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real state government earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real state government earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real state government earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.10%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.10% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.10%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 25 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 38 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 29 counties whose most recent (2022) real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.14%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 34 counties whose real state government earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 93 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.10% over 2010-2022 and 6.14% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.10%) and near-term (6.14%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.10%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Nebraska average (6.14%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.10%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (6.14%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.10%) and near-term (6.14%).
   
 
Summary of Nebraska's 93 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(6.14%)
Above
(6.14%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.10%)
8
17
25
Below
(3.10%)
26
12
38
 
34
29
63
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Nebraska counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Nebraska's average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.10%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.14%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Nebraska's 93 counties, 17 (18%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 8 Nebraska counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.10%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 6.14%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 8 (9%) of Nebraska's 93 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
This figure shows the distribution of the 12 Nebraska counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.10%), while they outpaced Nebraska's average near-term (2022 = 6.14%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Nebraska's 93 counties, only 13% (12) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Nebraska:
2010-2022 = 3.10%
2022 = 6.14%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 26 Nebraska counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.10%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.14%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
28% of Nebraska's counties, 26 of 93, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Nebraska
Real* State Government Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
6
6.02
 
1
30.13
6,409
 
14
4.29
 
31
6.21
134,057
 
5
6.69
 
23
9.22
11,377
 
2
10.60
 
11
16.40
22,672
 
11
4.86
 
26
7.12
376
 
4
6.83
 
16
14.38
716
 
3
9.13
 
4
23.38
1,124
 
23
3.40
 
19
11.86
3,519
 
25
3.13
 
27
6.79
35,143
 
15
4.15
 
10
16.87
11,022
 
13
4.40
 
8
18.33
15,611
 
9
5.34
 
14
15.82
2,701
 
22
3.49
 
13
16.03
2,447
 
1
11.37
 
2
23.57
40,096
 
16
3.97
 
22
9.37
45,723
 
8
5.69
 
25
7.38
2,926
 
10
4.97
 
7
20.71
18,551
Slipping Counties
 
7
5.83
 
36
5.61
6,048
 
19
3.65
 
40
3.81
3,927
 
24
3.33
 
61
-7.70
863
 
21
3.51
 
39
3.83
793,272
 
20
3.56
 
56
-4.38
1,530
 
17
3.91
 
41
3.65
851
 
12
4.75
 
54
-2.88
6,138
 
18
3.79
 
47
-0.23
13,180
Gaining Counties
 
48
1.00
 
20
10.94
16,614
 
53
-0.14
 
21
9.74
845
 
29
2.82
 
15
15.19
1,198
 
32
2.68
 
18
13.63
4,143
 
47
1.13
 
6
22.14
1,655
 
38
2.05
 
12
16.36
4,729
 
44
1.40
 
5
22.85
4,269
 
45
1.17
 
30
6.22
2,186
 
28
2.92
 
9
17.34
61,200
 
56
-0.18
 
24
7.78
679
 
60
-0.45
 
28
6.74
2,311
 
36
2.27
 
29
6.48
3,089
Lagging Counties
 
43
1.50
 
53
-2.81
1,974
 
52
-0.01
 
60
-7.52
873
 
40
1.73
 
66
-10.89
687
 
39
2.02
 
51
-2.06
3,798
 
59
-0.35
 
67
-14.07
855
 
46
1.14
 
65
-10.77
1,873
 
27
3.02
 
42
2.27
35,604
 
35
2.32
 
55
-4.21
1,434
 
30
2.73
 
35
5.76
3,339
 
55
-0.18
 
46
0.29
699
 
31
2.73
 
50
-1.66
1,482
 
63
-1.84
 
62
-8.44
29,787
 
58
-0.29
 
68
-14.87
790
 
33
2.63
 
32
6.14
4,565
 
42
1.66
 
57
-5.01
1,460
 
57
-0.19
 
45
0.73
825
 
49
0.98
 
58
-6.07
3,667
 
26
3.08
 
33
6.12
1,496,433
 
61
-0.54
 
44
1.14
977
 
41
1.70
 
43
1.43
853
 
54
-0.17
 
69
-16.34
594
 
37
2.12
 
49
-0.81
3,288
 
62
-1.73
 
52
-2.51
970
 
51
0.52
 
63
-9.04
916
 
34
2.49
 
64
-9.42
1,557
 
50
0.71
 
38
3.88
1,794
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
154
 
U
U
 
S
S
0
 
U
U
 
S
S
36
 
U
U
 
S
S
9,416
 
U
U
 
37
4.21
3,936
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,753
 
U
U
 
17
13.79
27,995
 
U
U
 
34
5.99
531
 
U
U
 
70
-70.74
342
 
U
U
 
S
S
646
 
U
U
 
S
S
0
 
U
U
 
S
S
316
 
U
U
 
S
S
644
 
U
U
 
S
S
34,650
 
U
U
 
S
S
272
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,282
 
U
U
 
S
S
493
 
U
U
 
S
S
260
 
U
U
 
S
S
137
 
U
U
 
S
S
18,427
 
U
U
 
59
-6.16
594
 
U
U
 
48
-0.29
677
 
U
U
 
3
23.55
425
 
U
U
 
S
S
321
 
U
U
 
S
S
254
 
U
U
 
S
S
519
 
U
U
 
S
S
406
 
U
U
 
S
S
40,911
 
U
U
 
S
S
801
 
U
U
 
S
S
124
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.10
 
6.14
3,033,613
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.81
 
2.68
477,522,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620310_LSGL
 
   
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